Thursday night storm trending east, few flakes on Cape/Islands

Posted by: Fred Campagna January 16, 2013 in Analysis, Mobile 1 Comment

Earlier today it seemed likely that most of Southeastern New England, particularly Cape Cod, was in for another light-moderate snowfall Thursday night in Friday. The last few computer model runs, however, are focusing in on a solution that keeps the lion’s share of the precipitation just offshore, leaving little more than snow showers on Cape Cod and some light snow on Nantucket. Therefore, the forecast for accumulating snow Thursday night has been changed to partly to mostly cloudy with the chance of flurries in RI and interior Southeast MA, and mostly cloudy with some light snow or snow showers on Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard, and Nantucket.

Accumulating snow narrowly misses SNE

Closest computer model (as of Wednesday evening) brings minor accumulation to Cape/Islands

Skies will become partly cloudy late Wednesday night as the storm that brought up to 5″ of snow moves away from Southern New England. The temperature will drop into the upper 20s to low 30s by dawn. Slushy puddles may freeze late Wednesday night. Thursday will be partly cloudy with highs around 4o. The storm swings from the Carolina coast out to sea Thursday night, and colder air arrives for a brief stay on Friday. The temperature will drop into the teens to low 20s by early Friday, and only rise into the mid to upper 20s Friday afternoon.

Saturday looks breezy and milder with some sunshine and highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. It will start out relatively mild on Sunday, but a passing cold front will have the temperature dropping in the afternoon and evening. The forecast for the AFC Championship game in Foxboro calls for dry, blustery, and cold weather. The temperature will most likely be in the 20s, but the wind chill may be closer to 10.

At this point, it appears we’ll have plain old cold weather early next week. The high will struggle to reach 30 degrees, and lows will be in the teens. There is a possibility a storm will develop and have an impact in the Northeast, but, right now, nothing is imminent.