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Long-Range Forecast – November 20

It has been quite a month in the United States. The temperature for the lower 48 states is averaging about 5° below normal for the month, and, of course, the lake-effect snow in New York has been incredible. It has been cold in New England, but not as cold as most of the rest of the country. The chilly weather will stick around into the weekend before a warm-up into next week. Rain will come with the warmer weather on Sunday night into Monday. Right now, Tuesday looks like a decent day.

We’re watching the potential for a storm or at least showers on Wednesday. It’s tough to say if it will stay offshore or come close enough for cold rain and, possibly, some snow inland. Thanksgiving looks dry and cool, but not brutally cold.

The forecast becomes highly uncertain (see the video) late next week into early December. We’re leaning toward more cold weather and possibly a couple of storm threats, but the models are divided on how the pattern will evolve. I’d be surprised if it is warmer than normal next weekend. Eventually, after the first week or so of December, this generally cold pattern could temporarily thaw.

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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