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Tropical Storm Ingrid forms in Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Storm ingrid formed in the Gulf of Mexico about 60 miles north of Veracruz, Mexico on Friday, September 13, 2013. The storm was drifting west at 2 mph, with a turn to the north expected soon. The storm will continue moving very slowly, and the center of circulation may stay offshore through the weekend. As a result, the storm will keep up its intensity or gradually strengthen over the warm waters of the Gulf.

The main threat from Ingrid, and it is a significant one, is for deadly flooding to occur because of tremendous rainfall totals in eastern Mexico. In the next five days Ingrid may produce 10-25 inches of rains in an area prone to flash flooding and mudslides. The heavy rain will extend north into southernmost Texas where 3-6″ of rain may fall.


Computer model forecasts for Tropical Storm Ingrid

From the National Hurricane Center
TROPICAL STORM INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013
1000 AM CDT FRI SEP 13 2013

...THE NINTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE GULF OF
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 95.3W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
DEPRESSION IN THE GULF OF MEXICO HAS STRENGTHEND AND IS NOW
TROPICAL STORM INGRID...THE NINTH NAMED CYCLONE OF THE SEASON. AT
1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST. INGRID IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST SHOULD
BEGIN LATE TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...INGRID WILL
BE MOVING VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF
RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

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