Winter 2015-16 was the warmest on record in Providence by more than 0.5° over 2001-2002. So far, the snow season has been below normal with about 65% of the normal in Providence. Even though there was not much snow, December through February were wetter than normal. As we head into spring, it will likely average warmer than normal from March through May. The seasonal computer model consensus is for it to be a relatively dry spring. Below are some forecasts from NOAA and various computer models.
The near-record El Niño is weakening, and it may transition to a La Niña by the fall and winter. If that shift happens quickly this summer, then a more active hurricane season is likely.
