It feels more like late September than early June for the past few days in Southeastern New England. A cold front sweeping through New England this weekend may bring showers and thunderstorms in the middle of the weekend. The overall trend for the next week is for relatively dry weather to continue, with comfortable nights and mild to warm days.
It will likely be cooler than normal for most of the next week, with Sunday having the potential to be seasonably warm if clouds clear quickly enough behind the cold front that will move through Saturday night into Sunday morning. A general northwest wind aloft means the humidity stays low through at least the middle of next week, and nighttime low temperatures fall into the 50s – saving money on air conditioning.
The large and dominant area of high pressure over Central and Eastern Canada also means that next workweek looks mainly or all rain-free.
The normal high temperature does not reach 80° in the Providence area until about two weeks from now. It does not look like there will be too many warmer than normal days through then. With high pressure to our north next week, there will likely be a storm or series of storms that develop in the Southeastern United States. While it’s dry here, it will be wet there. In this pattern, we need to keep an eye on that action to our south because it’s not out of the realm of possibility that one of those slow-moving storms could drift north and bring 1-2 days of unsettled weather our way. It does not look like that will happen before the end of the Father’s Day weekend. If wet weather stays away for most of the next two weeks, then we could be looking at a significant rainfall deficit shaping up for the month. To date, there has been than 0.62″ of rain in Providence, and the normal for the entire month is 3.64″. It’s possible that we could still be at less than an inch on June 20.
The longer-range modeling still shows relatively warm weather to round out the month, and even with this slight cool snap lately, the month is running more than 2° warmer than normal through the fist 8 days.