At the risk of being accused of over-hyping or spreading panic, I wanted to point out five reasons that I, as an experienced meteorologist, am very concerned about Hurricane Sandy’s impact in New England and the Mid-Atlantic. I could have used concerned in the title of the article, but I have a liking for alliteration. Rather than lay it all out in the eloquent prose of someone who has had 15 hours sleep since Wednesday morning, I figured I would cut a late-night video for your viewing pleasure. I’m not seen in the video, because, frankly, I probably look like hell.
Here are the reasons:
- Size matters
- Computer model consistency
- Track, track, track
- No analog
- Full Hunter’s moon
- Silly semantics
Watch the video for the full explanation
Fred – you should have broken free and gone out on your own a looong time ago – thank you 🙂
As usual, Leslie and I agree: Fred, you are the best! Hang in there and definitely grab a nap later!
I heard about Sandy first from you, Fred. I learn about Sandy best from you. Hope you get some sleep tonight… Thanks for all your hard work.
Fred, don’t feel bad. Sandy certainly scares me as well, but at the same time I am wired and ready to fly being a storm chaser.LOL.
I am located a ways inland and the winds have not picked up yet, overnight they have basically been pretty calm and we have picked up overnight precip accum of 0.06″ so far.
For the ones standing on the pier in FL this morning watching the weather channel is crazy. It bugs me that with a storm with this magnitude some will just ride it out.
Nice job Fred.
Fred – Was in Miami for Andrew – worked at NOAA/AOML, and saw the models all lining up 48 hrs out, and took it very seriously. Saved my car, bikes, and many belongings by moving them to safety when many folks ignored the danger. Point is, When models line up, take it seriously as you say in vid. One difference (besides intensity) – Andrew’s track was straight at Miami, – this one kicks left at last minute – makes me think that there is potential for error there – in either direction – could actually head for us or further south…
Toddy, good points. In terms of sheer size, by the time Sandy gets here, you could probably fit three Andrews inside it. Thankfully, Sandy won’t have that core of wind capable of sticking a 2×4 through a tree like a spear!
what do you mean further south?
Lisa, can you elaborate? I’m not following exactly what you’re referring to, but I want to answer your question. Thanks!
Is there any time to change the NHC warnings? Soo many of my friends and families have told me I am over reacting because we are only going to get a little wind. This is beyond frustrating! I’m being made fun of for preparing and I can’t get people to do simple things like buy water!
Thank you for being honest and straight forward with us! My husband and I both agree that we will never regret being well prepared and not needing it than the other way around. You give us all the information to make these decisions for ourselves and I appreciate it (I am a bio-chemist and really appreciate the way you share the information and the science behind your forecasts!!)
Hopefully this storm will be nothing major, but if it is I am glad you have prepared us!!
Your wife left a link on my page, and basically introduced me to your site. I wanted to take a moment to say thank you! Your information, and concern, is by far some of the best out there! I for one, will never be upset by being OVER prepared.
I am getting quite aggravated by what seems to be a “Lack of concern” from our so called Govenor, and state officials. In fact his on air news conference last night, saying “?they learned so much” from Irene last year, was, I hate to say it, a joke.
Fred, you are my weather hero! You had me at Irene:-) So glad you continue to keep us southern New Englanders in the loop!