Storm Update: Snow odds Saturday-Sunday

The next graphic shows how unlikely it is for a less than 2″ snowfall in the Providence area. The odds are also relatively low (20-25%) that the final total is in the 2-4″ range. The largest part of the hump is between 4-7″, a moderate snowstorm for the area. There is about a 15% chance of a 7-9″ event.

Most likely scenario has 4-7" in Providence area
Most likely scenario has 4-7″ in Providence area

This graphic from the HPC late last night indictates little chance of an 8″ event in SNE. My guess is this will be updated this afternoon to include at least a 10-40% chance in RI and SE MA.

HPC odds of 8" are less than 10%
HPC odds of 8″ are less than 10%

This is the traditional snow map. The battle between rain and snow on the Cape will be interesting, especially near Falmouth. Those areas will see the most precipitation, but it is uncertain how much will be rain and how much will be snow. After reviewing this morning’s data, my only inclination is to raise the totals by 1″ in most areas. I will leave it as is for now, with room for adjustment later today or early-Saturday.

Right Weather - Snow Forecast
Right Weather – Snow Forecast
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Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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