The next graphic shows how unlikely it is for a less than 2″ snowfall in the Providence area. The odds are also relatively low (20-25%) that the final total is in the 2-4″ range. The largest part of the hump is between 4-7″, a moderate snowstorm for the area. There is about a 15% chance of a 7-9″ event.
This graphic from the HPC late last night indictates little chance of an 8″ event in SNE. My guess is this will be updated this afternoon to include at least a 10-40% chance in RI and SE MA.
This is the traditional snow map. The battle between rain and snow on the Cape will be interesting, especially near Falmouth. Those areas will see the most precipitation, but it is uncertain how much will be rain and how much will be snow. After reviewing this morning’s data, my only inclination is to raise the totals by 1″ in most areas. I will leave it as is for now, with room for adjustment later today or early-Saturday.