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Tropical Depression Two forms near Central America

The second tropical depression of the Atlantic hurricane season has formed. The disturbance in the Western Caribbean is expected to cross the Yucatan Peninsula bringing heavy rain to Central America. As of late Monday morning, the center of the storm was located about 60 miles west of Monkey River Town in Belize. Rain totals are expected to be 2-5″ in parts of Belize, Guatemala, and Honduras. The storm may emerge into the Gulf of Mexico later this week and become Tropical Storm Barry before moving inland into Mexico.

Hurricane Tracker

Projected track of Tropical Depression Two
Projected track of Tropical Depression Two
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1100 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...
...APPROACHING COAST OF BELIZE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 87.6W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE THIS
AFTERNOON.  THE DEPRESSION COULD EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.  SOME
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER LAND LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY IF
THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA... NORTHERN HONDURAS AND THE
SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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