A disturbance in the southern Gulf of Mexico is intensifying as it heads for the eastern Mexico coast. The system is moving westward at 10 mph, and conditions are favorable for intensification. The National Hurricane Center is giving the system a 70% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone before making landfall in Veracruz, Mexico on Monday.
Computer model forecasts for Invest 95
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013 SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE THE SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST OF THE STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO TONIGHT OR MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. INTERESTS IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
