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Weakened Gabrielle heading for Canadian Maritimes

Tropical Storm Gabrielle once again weakened to a minimal tropical storm after hitting Bermuda Tuesday night. The storm had winds of 40 mph Wednesday evening, and was moving slowly west-northwest in the Atlantic Ocean about 100 miles WNW of Bermuda. The storm is expected to gradually turn to the north and make a run at the Canadian Maritimes as a tropical storm. It is not expected to strengthen considerably, with winds near 50 mph possible by Friday afternoon as it transitions to an extratropical cyclone.

The storm is not strong enough or close enough to have a direct impact in Southern New England. It’s only calling cards may be lingering showers on Friday morning as it interacts with a departing cold front, and a slight increase in the surf on Cape Cod and the islands. Offshore, seas may be 6-10 feet near Georges Bank, and 7-14 feet near the Nova Scotian Shelf


Computer model forecasts for Tropical Storm Gabrielle

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072013
500 PM AST WED SEP 11 2013

...GABRIELLE A LITTLE WEAKER...
...MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.8N 66.4W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST.
GABRIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-
NORTHEAST AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WILL CONTINUE MOVING
AWAY FROM BERMUDA...REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. EAST
COAST...AND APPROACH NOVA SCOTIA FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY...WITH SOME STRENGTHENING POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH GABRIELLE WILL DIMINISH ACROSS
BERMUDA...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 INCH OR LESS.

SURF...ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA TODAY.

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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