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Pro Update: Snow threat on Tuesday

So far this February we’re averaging a snow event every three days in Southern New England. Right on queue, there is another snow threat for Tuesday. While this may end up being more of a non-event, there is still a scenario where Southern New England picks up another plowable snow. The snow forecast below is based on a weak storm tracking along or just south of the coast. The temperature would be in the low 30s, the snow would fall during the midday, with a sun angle comparable to late October, and the precipitation would not be terribly heavy. Factoring all those things into the equation, the snow would have a tough time sticking on treated surfaces. The timing looks like mid to late morning to mid to late afternoon or early evening.

Right Weather - Snow Forecast
Right Weather – Snow Forecast

So, what would it take to have a snowier Tuesday? If the storm tracks 50-100 miles farther south it will lock in the cold air and a southern track would also show a stronger disturbance with the potential to develop into a storm that could bring 2-5″ of snow during the day. The odds of this happening are lower than the our favored scenario, but not extremely low. This forecast definitely bears watching.

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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