At the risk of throwing cold water on the snowstorm potential for early next week, I think it’s important for snow-lovers to temper expectations a bit at this point. While the GFS model continues to advertise a big snow-maker, the European model shifts the heavier precipitation, and most of the snow, north of the MA Pike. The snowstorm for Southeastern New England scenario is still possible, but so is the potential for mainly mixed precipitation and rain. If the European model is on the right track, then there would be a lot of sleet and freezing rain inland, with sleet and plain rain near the coast in Southeastern New England.
The key will be how far south the cold front gets on Sunday into Sunday night. If it lurks just south of or over the coast, then we’re looking at a wet and mixed precipitation event. If the cold air pours into Southern New England and the front gets far enough south then it will be mainly snow and ice. With five days to go, there is no reason to get too invested in either scenario. We’ll continue to watch the trends and should have a better idea of which way this is heading in the next couple of days.