Long Range Forecast – March 3
We are only three days into the month and I feel very confident saying that this will be the fifth consecutive colder than normal month in Southern New England. In fact, barring a big late-month warm-up, it may be the coldest relative to normal of the bunch. There is absolutely no sign of warm weather in the forecast for the next couple of weeks. Sure, if a storm cuts west of Southern New England, the temperature may get into the 40s briefly, but I do not see widespread 45°+ with sunshine for any extended period. Keep in mind, the normal high temperature is quickly approaching 45°.
While the cold weather is a lock, the chance of more snow is uncertain. A couple of storms will flirt with Southern New England later this week. The first one, on Thursday, looks like it may drift out to sea rather harmlessly. The concern is since it’s a drifter, if it does get drawn back to the coast, it would be a slow-moving system that would bring at least moderate precipitation. Another system may blossom south of Southern New England on Sunday bringing the chance of snow.
High pressure over central and eastern Canada will keep the cold weather locked into the Northeast next week. A storm may try to move northeast into that cold weather in the middle of the week. That would be another shot at snow or a wintry mix. Looking way down the road, a dip in the jet stream (trough) is the primary weather feature over the Northeast, and that means a continued supply of relatively cold weather.
These long range forcasts are getting depressing. May have to stop watching them. I guess I can forget a decent spring growing season, and sets up a poor summer crop.