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Spring Outlook for Southern New England

My forecast for meteorological winter was about a “B” in my opinion. It was colder than normal, and we called for near normal temperatures. Our snow forecast was for 40″ at TF Green. To date, 42″ of snow has fallen. We did not see a big (12″) snow storm, although we predicted one. There were plenty of mixed precipitation events, something we thought would be common. Overall, it could have been a little better, especially if we were bolder with our temperature forecast.

Now it’s time to look at spring. We do not get has heavily involved in the forecasting of spring, fall, and summer as we do with winter and hurricane season. This forecast is more of an overview of what the models are showing, along with a look at the NOAA forecast. The gist of it is we’re most likely going to see March become the fifth straight colder than normal month in the Providence area. April may start out cool, too. Eventually, we expect a flip to near or above normal temperatures for the second half of spring. When averaged, we expect the spring to be colder than normal.

As far as precipitation goes, March looks reasonably wet with the potential for some bigger ticket storms. We do not see any major signal from El Niño or La Niña, and we’re going to keep the precipitation forecast near normal for the season . So, it does not look like we’ll be talking about a drought like we were last spring, and, hopefully, by mid-April we’ll have some warmer weather to enjoy.

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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