So far, the summer forecast is going as planned. We did not expect much extreme heat in the first half of summer, and the high temperature for 2014 is still just 86° in Providence through June 26. It will most likely not hit 90 before July 1, and that will be the first time since 1990 that there has not been a 90° day before July 1.
Taking a look at the weather pattern for the next couple of weeks, it does not look like we’ll be seeing any extended hot stretches in Southern New England through July 10. The weather will get warm and muggy again early next week, but it will probably not reach the low 90s in Southeastern New England. After an unsettled midweek, it may clear out nicely for the 4th of July. The key is whether the cold front that moves through on Wednesday gets far enough offshore to allow high pressure from Central Canada (again) to move overhead late in the week.
The best shot at getting into 90s may be during the week after the 4th. Overall, though, we still are not expecting anything close to a repeat of last July when 11 of the first 20 days were in the 90s, and the month averaged nearly 5° warmer than normal.
