February began with a record high temperature on Monday. It reached 66° in Providence, breaking the old record of 64° set in 1989. It won’t be as warm for the rest of the week, but the overall mild theme continues. Rain is likely in the midweek on Wednesday. It will be windy and very mild, with highs in the 50s.
A storm will form on the front as it stalls offshore, but the odds favor most or all the storm missing New England and heading out to sea. There is around a 30% chance of some snow, with a 10% chance of more than 2″ in the Providence area. The next shot at snow is on Sunday with an Alberta Clipper to the north. Once again, there is a low chance of measurable snow.
Another storm will threaten around Tuesday of next week. There is a better chance for steady precipitation, but the storm track may not be conducive for all snow. The overall active pattern continues through mid-month. Unlike last year, there will always be a precipitation-type issue because there is just not as much available cold air this year. The storm tracks will be critical.