A late-month warm surge pushed the monthly temperature to above normal for May. Monday’s rain also helped turn around a very dry month into a near-normal precipitation total. The five-day stretch from May 25-29 averaged around 11° warmer than normal in the Providence area. It does not look like we will see anything that warm in the first couple of weeks of June. In fact, the temperature will be much closer to the normal for this time of the year, which is in the mid 70s. The average high in Providence does not reach 80° until June 22.
Pleasant weather is likely Wednesday and Thursday before showers threaten late Friday. It looks like Saturday will be dry and seasonable, with a bit more humidity. A storm moving through Eastern Canada will bring a shower threat Sunday. It’s a bit early to say if it will be morning or afternoon, but the odds favor some rain during the day.
The upper-low will spin around north of Southeastern New England for a couple of days early next week. A west-northwest wind will bring back lower humidity. The energy in the atmosphere could lead to scattered afternoon showers/storms, but the early outlook is for the center of the low to be far enough north that RI and SE MA are right on the fringe of that action.
Overall, the pattern looks fairly active for early June. After the upper-low departs in the middle of next week, a series of weak disturbances will move from the Midwest to the Northeast. Showers will threaten every couple of days, but it does not look like any major rainmakers through June 14.
