We are reaching the midway point of October, and so far this month temperature and precipitation is running near or above normal in RI and SE MA. The most rain has been in S RI and SE MA, while our friends in western New England are dealing with another very dry month.
After a cool start to the weekend, there is a big warm-up ahead for most of next week. Look for temperatures to run above normal by Sunday afternoon, and it will stay that way through next workweek. Highs will be in the mid 60s with sun and clouds on Sunday. A passing shower is possible Sunday night as a cold front moves through. Some sunshine returns Monday afternoon, and highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
The warmest weather is likely in the midweek. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s. Tuesday and Wednesday. Inland locations may touch 80° on either or both of those days. The normal high is 62-63° at this time of the year! The nights will also be relatively warm, with lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
The weather will likely stay dry through Thursday. Highs will be in the 70s again with a southerly wind. Conditions are ripe for some rain in the Northeast late next week. Showers cannot be ruled out on Friday, but at this point it does not look like a washout. Highs will be near 70 again.
There is a better chance of rain Saturday. The early outlook for next Sunday is for drying and cooler conditions, with highs in the 50s. It’s a long way down the road…
Looking further into the future, the European Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) is forecasting relatively warm weather in the Eastern United States most of the time through late November. It also has near-normal precipitation in that timeframe.