October 17th Update
Indian summer is in the forecast for the early to middle part of the week in Southeastern New England. Near-record warmth is possible on Wednesday. The weather pattern favors showers or rain late in the workweek, but it is unclear whether it will be a beneficial soaking rain or just a few showers.
A warm front moving through New England Monday night will bring some clouds, but just the slight chance of a brief shower. It will be a very mild night, with lows in the mid to upper 50s.
Tuesday and Wednesday will be partly cloudy and very warm for mid-October. The record high temperatures in Providence are 85° on Tuesday and 81° on Wednesday. The Tuesday record will most likely not be reached, but the Wednesday record is vulnerable. There will also be some humidity to go along with the relatively warm weather. Expect partly sunny days both Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs will range from the mid 70s to low 80s – warmest inland. There will be a southwest breeze.
A back-door cold front slides through late Wednesday, and then returns as a warm front with showers possible on Thursday. It does not look like a washout. Look for gray skies and much cooler conditions, with highs in the low 60s.
A pair of storm systems will connect somewhere near the Northeast Coast late in the workweek. At this point, it looks like the connection may be a bit too far east to bring Southeastern New England soaking rain, but it’s a close call. There will likely be some showers on Friday, and the potential exists for heavier rain if the storm (possibly sub-tropical) off the Eastern US coast connects with the cold front closer to the coast.
The outlook for the weekend is for dry, brisk, and cool weather. Saturday looks partly cloudy with highs near 60. Sunday may not make it out of the mid to upper 50s. The overall look for early next week is seasonably cool, with highs in the 50s.