February 12th Update
Another winter storm is bringing accumulating snow to Southeastern New England on Sunday. The snow will change to mix/rain during the evening from south to north and generally get lighter. A change back to snow is possible around midnight through early Monday, but less than an inch of additional snow accumulation is likely after midnight. See the snow map below, and most of that will fall with the first burst of snow which lasts until 9-11 pm in the areas expecting 5-10″, and until 5-8 pm in the 2-5″ range. The heavier snow had already moved inland from the coast as of 3 pm Sunday, and therefore totals near the coast will be 2″ or less.
The storm strengthens rapidly overnight, and strong winds will be the story on Monday. 40+ mph gusts are in the forecast for RI and interior E MA, with the E MA coast at risk of seeing 55+ mph gusts. Temps will be in the low to mid 30s with some clearing in the afternoon.
The weather pattern looks a lot less active in the next week. There is one shot of snow/rain in the middle of this week, but, as of Sunday, it did not look like it will come together for a big storm in Southeastern New England.
Expect partly sunny skies on Valentine’s Day. Highs will be in the mid to upper 30s. It will reach the low 40s on Wednesday as clouds increase. Rain and/or snow showers are likely Wednesday night into early Thursday as two disturbances interact while passing through the Northeast. If the interaction happens soon enough, then a big storm will happen. Right now, that’s not the most likely scenario.
Expect mainly dry and blustery conditions on Thursday. Highs will be in the mid 30s. The weather looks quiet and seasonable Friday and Saturday, and it may warm into the mid 40s by next Sunday.