Right Weather Pro

August 13th Update

The Key Points
  • Stays unsettled early in the week
  • Seasonably warm Wednesday through Friday
  • Cannot rule out showers this weekend (again)

It is more of the same on Monday and Tuesday with pop-up showers and t-storms throughout Southern New England. The rain does look as widespread as it was over the weekend, but it’s unlikely to be completely dry in any given town over the next couple of days. Slow-moving cells are possible, and in a worst-case scenario there could be flash flooding in a few areas. Expect highs in the upper 70s to low 80s with plenty of humidity. 

Flash flood guidance suggests that more than 2″ of rain would need to fall in an hour for there to be issues in most of Southern New England. While some downpours are likely in the next couple of days, there is only a low risk of flash flooding. 

There is a much lower, but not quite zero, chance of showers on Wednesday and Thursday. Expect highs well into the 80s with some sun and moderate humidity. Friday does not look much different. It may feel tropical again by mid to late afternoon. Once again, there is a low risk of a pop-up shower or t-storm. 

Finally a Dry Weekend? Maybe not. 

Looking ahead to the third weekend of the month…a passing front Friday night into Saturday may trigger showers and thunderstorms. With a little luck, it will be dry during the day on Saturday. We deserve it after starting August with two wet Saturdays. The tail end of the front lingers over the Mid-Atlantic, and that will probably prevent it from being a superb weekend. I expect some clouds with seasonable or slightly cool temps by Sunday. Look for highs in the mid-upper 80s on Saturday, and low 80s on Sunday. 

If you’re wishing for refreshingly dry/cool air anytime soon, I would not my hopes up. There are some signs that Canadian high pressure may bring a cool-down in the last few days of the month, but it’s unlikely that there will be anything more than a day or two with lows in the low-mid 60s. Most of the time, lows will range from the mid 60s to low 70s over the next 10-14 days. 

Sleepy Tropics

The tropics are still very quiet, and that’s not expected to change in the next couple of weeks. At this point last year, the seventh storm of the season was forming. There have been four storms (three hurricanes) so far this year. 

Zzzzzzz in the tropics into late August

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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