October 19 – PM Update
A few showers are possible late Friday night as a disturbance approaches from the west. It will cool down quickly under mainly clear skies this evening, but the temperature will level off or rise a bit by dawn on Saturday. Low temperatures will range from the mid 40s to low 50s – mildest near the coast.
Saturday looks like a mostly cloudy day. A passing shower cannot be ruled out, but I expect it to be mainly dry. A few sunny breaks are possible in the afternoon. It will be relatively mild with highs in the low to mid 60s. Another shower may roll through Saturday night as a strong cold front passes and brings a chill for Sunday.
A gusty northwest wind will make it feel like the 30s to low 40s on Sunday as the temperature tops out in the upper 40s to low 50s. Expect a dry day with a blend of clouds and sun.
Mainly Dry Workweek
The workweek begins with a cool and dry Monday. Look for lows near freezing Monday morning, and highs near 50 in the afternoon. A sunny start will give way to afternoon clouds. A disturbance moving through on Tuesday brings more clouds, and likely at least a few showers in the afternoon and/or at night. It does not look like a widespread soaking rain. It will get briefly milder with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s ahead of the rain.
Wednesday through Friday are shaping up to be dry and cool. Highs should be in the 50s on Wednesday, but it will feel cooler because of the breeze. It may not make it out of the 40s on Thursday, with lows in the 30s. Friday morning starts out cold then bounces back into the 50s in the afternoon.
Storm Threat for October 27-29
I’ve been saying it for a while, and I’m sticking with the possibility of stormy weather before Halloween. The setup is in place for an East Coast storm sometime between next Saturday and early the following week. There is decent support of my theory from the European EPS computer model suite. The details are fuzzy, but a fairly significant wind/rain storm is possible in that time frame. Hopefully, this forecast will come into focus early next week.