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December 24 – Few flakes today; Dry Christmas

A very weak system brought a dusting of snow to Southern New England late Sunday night into early Monday. In most cases, the snow was not steady enough to cover roadways as the temperature hovered near freezing in the I-95 corridor. Light snow showers were moving out early Monday morning, but the back half of the system could bring a few more flakes midday through the afternoon. Temperatures should be in the mid 30s, and no travel issues are expected during the day. Snow showers and flurries could linger for a few hours after sunset, especially in RI and southeastern MA, and the temperature will fall below freezing overnight, so if pavement looks wet, it may be slippery.

Quiet and cool weather is ahead for Christmas and the midweek. Expect lows in the 20s with mostly sunny skies on Christmas morning. It will be a decent day, with some sun and highs in the upper 30s. More of the same is on tap for Wednesday. It looks a bit colder, but still dry on Thursday. Expect highs in the mid-upper 30s.

A large storm system moves out of the Midwest and into the Northeast on Friday. It will be running into chilly air over New England, but the track favors a warm-up with just a bit of snow/sleet possible before a change to rain during the day on Friday. Unlike last week’s storm that brought 1-3″ of rain on Friday, this one will likely bring about 0.4-0.8″. The temperature will climb through the 40s and may reach the 50s – especially near the coast.

Sprawling system spreads east by late in the week. Rain is likely on Friday in SNE.

The weekend features dry weather, with unseasonable warmth on Saturday. It may get to near 60° if it becomes partly cloudy during the morning. In any event, expect the 50s instead of the normal 30s for high temperatures with dry skies. Reality returns on Sunday as the temperature falls to near freezing by dawn, but only rebounds into the upper 30s in the afternoon. It looks dry on Sunday, too.

The early outlook for New Year’s suggests a storm system arriving sometime around New Year’s Day. It’s still a week away, but I expect it to stay dry through New Year’s Eve. There may be enough cold air around for some snow accumulation if a storm moves from the Southeastern United States into the Mid-Atlantic around January 1-2. Again, it’s very early in the game, but something to keep an eye on. As you can see below, the EPS computer model suite is suggesting that the weather takes a snowier turn early next year. About 60% of the members predict at least 2″ of snow in the next 15 days, and nearly 25% have at least 6″ of snow.

Have a very Merry Christmas and I’ll check in again in the middle of the week!

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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