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February 21 – Mainly or all rain Saturday night

The temperature soared after an icy start on Thursday. It reached the 40s to low 50s in the afternoon. Expect the temperature to dip to the upper 20s to low 30s by dawn on Friday. Watch out for some refreezing of puddles around snow piles. The weather looks quiet again on Friday. It will likely not be as warm, but still pretty nice with highs in the 40s. Lows will be in the 20s early Saturday with mainly clear skies.

Saturday starts with dry weather and sunshine. Clouds increase in the afternoon and precipitation arrives by late in the evening or after midnight. There is a decent chance that it reaches most of Connecticut by midnight. The best odds for a brief period of snow/sleet/freezing rain is in northern Fairfield, Litchfield, and Hartford Counties. Right now, I do not anticipate accumulating snow or an impact from any freezing rain. It’s possible the air that arrives Friday into Saturday is colder than projected, and I will adjust the forecast, if necessary.

Most of CT, RI and SE MA will get rain from the storm. The rain continues and may be heavy at times on Sunday – especially in the morning. The storm has the potential to bring more than 1″ of rain before ending late Sunday afternoon. The temperature will be in the 40s near the coast and 30s inland on Sunday.

We are looking at cold weather early next week. Highs will be in the mid to upper 30s on Monday with a gusty breeze gradually delivering colder air. Tuesday and Wednesday look rather cold for late February with highs struggling to get to freezing on Tuesday, and it may not reach 30 on Wednesday. At this point, it looks dry through the midweek, but I think it’s worth keeping an eye on the Wednesday night – Thursday time frame if something develops south of New England. The overall theme for the end of the month and early March is for more of a wintry pattern than a spring-like one. Ensembles from both the American and European computer models show additional snow chances through the first week of March. It will also likely be relatively cold.

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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