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February 24 – Howling winds Monday; Snow possible Wednesday night

The workweek begins with screaming westerly winds all day Monday. Look for peak gusts over 45 mph, and there may be some that reach 55 mph in Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Southeastern Massachusetts. The strongest winds are likely around midday. It will noticeably colder than Sunday with the temperature in the low 30s, but feeling colder because of the 15-30 mph winds with higher gusts. Snow flurries and squalls are possible from late Sunday night through the day, but most of the time it will be dry with a blend of clouds and sunshine.

NAM model wind gusts for midday Monday

Monday night looks cold and still windy. There will still be 25-35 mph gusts through the night. Lows will be in the upper teens to low 20s, and it will feel more likely the single digits to low teens. The cold and windy weather continues on Tuesday. Expect 15-20 mph winds with gusts between 25-35 mph. It will be a partly to mostly sunny, but cold day. Highs will be near 30. It stays cold and turns a lot less windy during the day on Wednesday.

Midweek snow possible

A pair of storm systems approaching from the west could combine to bring light to moderate snow Wednesday night into Thursday morning. It’s still pretty early, but this Alberta Clipper system has the potential to be disruptive for the Thursday morning commute. At this point, the best chance for a couple of inches of snow is in SW CT with lower odds the farther east and north you go. I do not want to speculate too much about this one because a slight track shift means the difference between flurries and 4-5 inches of fluffy snow.

Canadian model shows light-moderate snow Wednesday night
EPS 15 day snow potential for Providence area. 25-30% chance of 2″ of snow Wednesday night, with more snow chances in early March.
EPS 15 day snow potential for New Haven area. 30-40% chance of at least 2″ of snow Wednesday night into Thursday. Also showing more snow chances in the first week of March.

Dry weather is likely from Thursday afternoon through the day on Friday. It will be a bit cool for late February and early March, but not brutally cold. Another storm arrives early in the weekend, and the early outlook is for that one to be mainly rain with it possibly starting as snow/sleet. That’s a ways down the road, and it’s something I’ll keep an eye on this week. The overall theme for early March is for an active weather pattern, and more snow is possible next week. If it comes to fruition, I’m sure some people will be cursing the groundhog’s early spring prediction!

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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