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February 26 – Light snow Wednesday night

The wind will gradually diminish to 5-10 mph overnight as the temperature nosedives through the 20s into the upper single digits to low teens inland an low to mid teens near the coast under clear skies. After the frigid start, the temperature will not warm that much during the day. It may not get to 30° in most towns as clouds gradually fill in during the afternoon. A few flurries cannot be ruled out in the afternoon, but steady snow is unlikely.

The wind will diminish, but the temperature tumbles Tuesday night.
Here are the Wednesday morning lows.
Winter Weather Advisory Wednesday night into Thursday morning

A weak storm system moving through the very cold air will likely bring light snow to Southern New England Wednesday night. The storm system does not have much moisture to work with, but it has plenty of cold air. The result will be a light/fluffy snow. The tough part is predicting how much snow will fall because a very slight change in total precipitation could mean the difference between one and three inches of snow or three and six inches of snow.

There is not a lot of liquid precipitation with the snow event Wednesday night

It looks like the storm will squeeze out about 0.25″ of liquid, which should equate to 2-4″ of snow in the cold air for most of Southern New England. The best chance of seeing those totals is in northern CT, all of RI, and SE MA. There’s a lower chance of 2+” of snow in New Haven and Fairfield County. The general time frame for the snow is from 7-10 pm Wednesday to 7-10 am Thursday – starting and ending from west to east.

Updated snow forecast

I’ve been talking about it for a while, and it still looks like there will be more snow chances as the calendar turns from February to March in a few days. We may get clipped with light snow/mix Saturday night, and another storm could bring some snow on Monday. If you’re looking for a very early spring, you’ll have to look elsewhere. The first week of March looks pretty cold in the Northeast. It’s quite possible we’ll get more snow in the last month of winter than the first two months combined. The long-range outlook suggest that the weather pattern will flip to something closer to spring by the middle of March…right on time.

First week of March is about 10° colder than normal in Southern New England. Brrrr!

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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