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March 28 – Milder into the weekend

A late-March chill eases over the next couple of days as the wind swings around to the south and southwest. Expect the temperature to be closer to normal with highs near 50 on Thursday, and in the 50s on Friday. It will be dry with partly cloudy skies Thursday afternoon. There will be a lot of clouds on Friday, and a few showers cannot be ruled out. The low temperature will be near 40 Friday morning, and highs will be in the low to mid 50s in the afternoon. While showers are possible, most of the time it will be dry.

Saturday and Sunday will be seasonably warm inland, and cooler near the coast with an onshore breeze. It will likely reach 60 degrees inland both Saturday and Sunday. Expect highs in the 50s near the coast because of the chilly water. Low temperatures have been below freezing in the middle of this week, but that will not be the case this weekend. Look for lows in the 40s to near 50. Saturday is the pick of the weekend with a blend of clouds and sun. Look for showers to move through SNE from west to east on Sunday afternoon. The first showers are possible by midday Sunday in western Connecticut. Rain will likely hold off until late Sunday afternoon in Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts.

The front moves offshore Sunday night. That opens the door to cooler weather early next week. A stray shower is possible Monday afternoon with temperatures in the 40s – rather cool for April 1. It looks cool and dry on Tuesday with highs in the 40s again. Looking ahead to near Wed-Thu, a storm may develop off the Carolina coast and could bring some rain. Right now, odds favor it staying offshore, but it’s worth watching.

Storm near the Carolina coast in the middle of next week

Looking back at March and ahead to April-May

It has been a relatively cold March for most of the lower 48. The core of the cold air was centered over the Midwest, southern Plains, and northern Rockies.

March temperature anomaly to date

The European computer model did a remarkable job of predicting the temperature pattern for March.

European computer model forecast for March was spot-on

So, what is the European model predicting for April? It shows a warm-up along most of the Eastern Seaboard, including all of Southern New England.

Euro model forecast for April

The Euro model continues the theme of relatively warm weather through May. This is certainly good news for anyone who is hoping for a nice, warm spring in New England.

Euro temperature forecast for May

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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