This first half of November was in the top-10 coldest on record in most of Southern New England, and it looks like it will stay relatively cold most of the time through the end of the month. The weekend features a very chilly Saturday followed by a not quite as cold Sunday. A storm system early next week will bring chilly rain to most of Southern New England.
Expect a bright, but brisk and cold Saturday with highs in the mid 30s. It will feel like the 20s because of the gusty breeze. The temperature dips into the teens to mid 20s Saturday night with clear skies and a lighter breeze. Clouds stream in Sunday ahead of a storm system that will bring precipitation early in the week. Highs on Sunday will be 40-45.
It should be warm enough for mainly or all rain when precipitation develops Sunday night. A few pockets of freezing rain or sleet may last for an hour or two in well inland, but for most it will just be cold rain with temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s. There will be a developing northeast breeze that gets gusty on Monday as the storm intensifies east of Nantucket on Monday. The brunt of the storm may stay offshore, but it should be close enough for at least showers from late Sunday night through Monday.
Showers may linger through Monday night as the storm moves into Eastern Canada. Dry weather is ahead for the midweek. It will be seasonably cool with highs in the mid-upper 40s and lows in the low 30s. A frontal system arrives late in the workweek and brings another threat of precipitation, and once again it’s rain for Southern New England. It will be followed by more cold weather at the start of next weekend.
The overall pattern favors relatively cool to cold weather in the next couple of weeks, but it does not seem likely that the storm track will be favorable for snow in at least the next week. The pattern may stay relatively active towards the end of the month, and snow chances could increase as the temperature gets colder. Looking ahead to December, the long-range models indicate normal monthly snow for Southern New England – which is generally about 5-10″ from south to north in CT and RI.
