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January 11 – Warm weekend; Signs of winter ahead

The winter of 2019-20 has taken a very mild turn in the past few weeks. Record warmth will last through the weekend before it turns colder next week. The weather will likely stay snow-free through most or all of the workweek, but the snow odds increase late in the week.

The warm weather comes with gusty winds on Saturday and Sunday. The wind not far from the surface will be over 50 mph late Saturday night into Sunday morning, and it’s possible some of the strong winds will mix down to the surface. The graphic below shows the gust potential early Sunday.

If strong winds mix to the surface there could be isolated 50+ mph gusts early Sunday

Scattered showers with a low risk of t-storms are ahead for Sunday morning. It looks like the rain will be out of the picture before 10 am, and the afternoon will be breezy and dry with temps in the low 60s. The temperature dips Sunday night into the 20s to low 30s by dawn on Monday. It will be colder, but not exactly brutal for mid-January with temps int he low 40s Monday afternoon. Look for dry skies with a blend of clouds and sun. More of the same is ahead for Tuesday. It will actually get warmer on Wednesday and Thursday before turning colder on Friday. A few showers are possible Wednesday night into Thursday morning. It looks too warm for snow at this time.

A stronger storm system approaches next weekend. Right now, it looks like the best chance of rain/snow is on Saturday. The models are split on the track, and some are cold enough for snow/mix. Regardless of whether the storm brings snow, the weather pattern looks to turn colder next weekend through the end of January. The storm track may stay fairly active bringing a wintry feel (and look) back to New England after a hiatus.

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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