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January 16 – Snow to rain Saturday PM

A brief bitter blast (say that three times fast) arrives on Friday ahead of a storm system that brings snow followed by rain Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Accumulating snow is likely in most spots before the change from snow to sleet to rain from south to north.

A gusty northwest wind Thursday afternoon will drag in very cold air by Friday morning. Isolated 35-50 mph wind gusts are possible Thursday afternoon and night. The temperature will dip into the teens to low 20s by late at night, with wind chills near zero Friday morning. Highs will only be in the 20s with some sun on Friday, but it will feel colder because of the 15-25 mph sustained wind with higher gusts.

Temps in the 20s on Friday and feeling 10-15 degrees colder

Look for lows in the single digits to teens on Saturday morning. That sets the stage for a wintry start to a storm that will pass right over Southern New England eventually drawing in enough warm air for a change to mix/rain.

Timing

Snow begins 2-4 pm in CT, 3-5 pm in RI, and 4-6 pm in SE MA. Snow is likely if you’re heading out early in the evening.

Change to rain likely between 8-11 pm from south to north.

Rain end 3-5 am in CT, 4-6 am in RI and SE MA

Totals

At this point, it looks like a coating-2″ in the I-95 corridor and 2-4″ inland before a change to sleet then rain. Most of the snow near the coast will be washed away with rain and milder overnight temperatures in the 40s.

I think this computer model has a good idea on the snow forecast for Saturday PM

It will turn colder early next week, but it also likely stays dry. Highs may not get much above 30 degrees Monday and Tuesday. It will be in the 30s on Wednesday. There’s a good chance that dry weather continues late in the workweek with temps in the 40s Thursday and Friday. Another storm is possible next weekend, but it’s too early to speculate on rain, snow or mix.

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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