Cold weather is riding back into Southern New England on a northwest breeze Wednesday night. The temperature will drop into the teens and low 20s by dawn on Thursday before rebounding into the mid 30s in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. It will not be quite as cold on Friday afternoon after starting the day in the teens to low 20s. Look for highs in the low 40s with clouds streaming in late in the day.
There has been a lot of buzz about a Saturday snowmaker in Southern New England. Even though all the ingredients for a big event are on the table, they will probably not all make it into the same pot, and the Mother Nature most likely will not be making a Nor’easter this weekend for Southern New England. The storm will likely be just a bit too far out to sea, and the result is a glancing blow for Rhode Island and Southeastern Massachusetts, and even less impact in Connecticut.
At this point, it looks like either mainly/all dry weather on Saturday or a light snow/mix/rain over Southeastern New England. The bigger storm scenario is not completely off the table, but it’s teetering on the edge. Short-range models will get a hold of this system on Thursday, and the forecast will likely come into better focus. The odds of an inch of snow are less than 35%, but the odds of 6″+ of snow are still about 5% – so there’s the slimmest chance that there could be wholesale changes to the forecast.
Any impact from the storm will be on Saturday, and Sunday is shaping up to be dry and seasonable with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Dry weather is likely early next week, and the temperature will probably get into the 40s on Monday and Tuesday. A storm is possible in the mid to late workweek, and it’s too early to say rain/snow, but the way things have been going lately, rain is the early favorite.