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February 9 – More rain events likely

Snow will likely continue to be scarce in Southern New England through this week. Early week weather systems are likely to bring more rain than snow Monday and Tuesday. Connecticut could pick up a coating inland Sunday night before changing to rain by around dawn on Monday. It will be all rain near the coast, and Rhode Island and Southeastern Massachusetts are much more likely to get rain than snow from that system.

A second system follows on Tuesday, and that one will also bring chilly rain instead of snow. Look for highs Monday and Tuesday near 40 degrees. It will be in the low 40s with dry skies on Wednesday.

Chilly rain showers Tuesday morning

The storm system coming through Wednesday night into Thursday may start as wintry precipitation, but a change to rain is highly likely. That change should happen fast enough for no wintry impact near the coast. Inland could get a coating-1″ of snow/sleet before it goes over to rain. If the storm track shifts south, then it’s a colder scenario, but that’s unlikely. In fact, the temperature will likely spike through the 40s on Thursday afternoon. It will not stay warm, however, as much colder air follows on Friday into the start of next weekend.

Look for dry skies on Friday and Saturday. It will be windy and turn much colder Friday afternoon – temps will fall through the 30s and 20s, with feels like conditions in the teens or colder. The temperature may dive into the single digits to teens by dawn on Saturday before rebounding to the 30s in the afternoon. Right now, it looks dry through Sunday.

The long-range outlook favors active weather for the rest of February, and that means there will be more snow chances. The pattern lately has strongly favored mixed or rain events, and that may be the case again next week, but the models are showing a slightly colder pattern for late February and early March. You probably remember this winter getting off to a fast start, and it may be book-ended by a snowy finish. We shall see!

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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