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July 10 – Fay near-miss; Hot next week

Tropical Storm Fay will have a much bigger impact in the Mid-Atlantic than it will in Southern New England. The storm is near Atlantic City Friday afternoon and will move west of New England. It’s not a particularly strong tropical storm even though the National Hurricane Center has its sustained winds at 60 mph. Observations over Maryland and NJ coast are nowhere close to that, and there has not been a single wind GUST over 60 mph as of 3 pm Friday. The storm is producing heavy rain over the Mid-Atlantic with some areas getting over 5 inches. The heaviest rain will definitely stay west of New England, and most areas will get less than 1″ – with the lowest totals farthest east.

Fay moves inland over NJ Friday PM
Downpours likely Friday night, but heaviest rain misses SNE
Most of the rain from Fay is done by early Saturday

Bands of tropical showers will continue moving through SNE Friday night as the storm moves inland over NJ then NY. The heaviest rain from Fay is out of the picture by early Saturday morning, with pop-up showers possible midday and into the afternoon.

The weather looks mainly dry on Sunday, with highs in the 80s. A stray inland t-storm is possible. A disturbance moving through early next week threatens with more showers and thunderstorms on Monday.

Hot weather in the Southwestern US and Plains will try to get into New England next week. It’s uncertain if the extreme heat will make it by the end of the week. At this point, it looks a bit warmer than normal, but it may not be extremely hot. Expect highs in the upper 80s to low 90s midweek into the start of next weekend. Long-range models suggest that the hot weather will arrive eventually, and some mid-90s heat could be around towards the last 10 days of July.

Hot weather spreads east in the second half of July

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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