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July 5 – Heavy rain possible late-week

Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms in Southern New England in the early to middle part of the upcoming week. It will be dry most of the time, but showers and thunderstorms cannot be ruled out Monday through Wednesday. Expect seasonably warm conditions on Monday followed by cooler weather Tuesday. The high temperature on Wednesday will depend on the number of showers/storms that develop. Right now, it looks near normal.

Scattered t-storms on Tuesday

Dry and hot weather is in the forecast for Thursday and possibly part or all of Friday. A storm system that is in the Gulf of Mexico will move across Florida and south Georgia before crawling up the East Coast this week. It will likely arrive in Southern New England late in the workweek or next weekend. It may be a tropical system before or when it arrives. At this point, it does not look like a huge wind machine, but it could bring heavy downpours next weekend.

NHC has a 40% chance of the system in the Gulf becoming a tropical cyclone as it moves to the Southeast US coast in the midweek

The best bet for rain based on current projections is sometime between midday Friday and early Sunday. The speed of the system in the Gulf of Mexico is uncertain and it could arrive sooner than expected.

GFS model shows the best chance for strong winds over Southeastern Massachusetts

Looking ahead to next week, there is a high likelihood that the temperature will be above normal in Southern New England, but it does not look extraordinarily hot. It also looks like rainfall will be near normal to slightly dry.

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Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist

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