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October 5 – Limited rain chances this week

A few showers are possible on Tuesday and Wednesday, but steady rain is not likely in Southern New England this week. Look for plenty of clouds on Tuesday, with highs in the mid 60s. A stray shower cannot be ruled out, but it should not produce more than a couple of hundredths of an inch of rain.

A cold front approaches on Wednesday and the temperature will soar into the upper 60s to low 70s ahead of it. Passing showers are possible in the afternoon/evening. Once again, less than 0.1″ of rain is likely for most of Southern New England.

Scattered showers possible on Wednesday

It turns cooler on Thursday and Friday. Expect highs in the low to mid 60s with dry skies. It will be breezy on Thursday. A weak disturbance moving through Friday night could scare up a shower, but I would not count on it.

The weekend looks dry and mild. Highs will be near 70 on Saturday, and in the low-mid 70s on Sunday. We’ll watch what happens with Tropical System Delta as it approaches the United States Gulf Coast late in the workweek. Right now, it looks like there will not be any rain from the system in Southern New England through the weekend. It’s possible the system will interact with a cold front and bring some rain in the early to middle part of next week.

Temperature and Precipitation Outlook for mid-October

It does not look like there will be much very cool weather coming into New England over the next couple of weeks. Computer models are showing temps about 1-3° above normal in the next 7 days, and even warmer (relative to normal) in the the following week.

The weather looks quite dry this week through Columbus Day. Models are showing a less dry, but not exactly rainy, weather pattern from October 13-20.

Drought in New England continues. Extreme drought conditions are being experienced in part of northern and eastern Connecticut plus all of Rhode Island and Southeastern Massachusetts.

Unfortunately, our 35-46 day computer models are showing below normal rain in the Northeastern United States. The drought will likely last through the fall season.

GEFS 35 day rain anomaly – very dry in the Northeast
EPS 46 day rain anomaly – Dry in the Northeast, but not as dry as the GEFS model

Fred Campagna

President and Chief Meteorologist - Right Weather LLC AMS Certified Consulting Meteorologist #756 AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologist #126

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