A fairly active spring weather pattern brings several chances for rain to Southern New England in the next week. Showers Wednesday night moved out by early Thursday. Another round of rain is likely Thursday night and Friday morning. A few thunderstorms are possible as the disturbance moves through. Rain totals will average 0.2-0.4″ in the areas that do not get t-storms. Any t-storms could produce an additional 0.5″ of rain, but that will likely be localized.
Quiet weather is likely on Saturday into early Sunday before another storm system brings a slug of rain on Sunday. Once again, some t-storms cannot be ruled out. There is a good chance of at least 0.5″ of rain with the Sunday storm. The wind will be strong not too far off the surface, but it’s unclear as to whether some of the stronger wind gusts will mix down to the surface. The low-levels may stay fairly stable. If not, some 35+ mph gusts are possible Sunday.
Dry weather returns early next week with another storm system possible in the mid to late workweek. Once again, the potential exists for a decent soaking. It’s about a week away, so there is uncertainty about how it will all come together. It looks too warm for wintry weather, and the threat of any snow continues to dwindle as we march into April next week.
Long-range models favor a relatively warm and dry April in Southern New England. I’m more confident in the warm aspect of that forecast than the dry part of it.