Computer Model Trends: Very wet pattern ahead
For the past week we have been warning your about the unsettled weather pattern heading for the East Coast for late June and early July. Not much has changed on that front, and in a worst-case scenario it will be a very wet weather pattern in Southern New England through the first week of July. When you look at the maps below, you will see that that most of the models favor the heaviest rain falling to the west of RI and SE MA, but the totals over Southeastern New England are still impressive with 200-300% of the normal rain in the next 10-14 days.
The bottom-line is it will be wetter than normal in the next 10-14 days, with the chance for flooding rain if the “rain train” sets up a bit farther east than currently forecast. The rain will come in bursts, and the humidity levels will be quite high, although it will not be as hot as it is early this week. A safe estimate for rain in the next 10 days is 2-3″ – about 250% of the normal.
It’s too early to talk specifics on when it will rain during the weekend and the week of the fourth. Hopefully, the showers will time out ok to not interfere with too many outdoor plans.